Forage availability is a key factor regulating large herbivore populations. Global changes in land use and climate may affect the spatiotemporal distribution of forage across the ranges of large herbivores, especially in mountain ecosystems. We test two synergistic hypotheses for how landscape and climate changes from 2001 to 2023 have affected forb and graminoid biomass at the peak of the growing season within and across ecoregions of the eastern slopes of the Rocky Mountains in Alberta, Canada. The successional change hypothesis posits that the encroachment of woody vegetation into previously herbaceous communities has reduced forage biomass. The disturbance hypothesis proposes that abrupt community shifts caused by fire and timber harvesting have increased forage biomass. We used remote sensing to quantify temporal changes in land cover and disturbances, NDVI greenness and phenology indices, and spring climate. We then used in-situ vegetation data to parameterize generalized linear and gradient boosted regression tree models of forb and graminoid biomass to predict annual peak forb and graminoid biomass. We found that herbaceous land cover declined while shrub and forest area increased, and the percent of annual biomass within herbaceous areas declined from woody encroachment. Disturbance effects varied, with rising forage biomass in conjunction with increased area of logged forests in the foothills ecoregion, while burned areas declined and had a reduced contribution to the percent of annual biomass. We found that spring became warmer across the study area and ended earlier in the alpine, suggesting the effects of long-term climatic shifts may be strongest at higher ecoregions. Disturbance frequency, succession, and climate together shaped forage biomass in space and time. Increased prescribed fire and other ecological restoration actions may be needed to ensure that shifts in forage biomass do not threaten large herbivore persistence in the face of global change.

Human harvests can unwittingly drive evolution on morphology and life history, and these selective effects may be detrimental to the management of natural resources. Although theory suggests that harvest refuges, as sources of unselected animals, could buffer the effects of human exploitation on wild populations, few studies have assessed their efficiency. We analyzed records from >7000 trophy bighorn rams (Ovis canadensis) harvested in Alberta, Canada, between 1974 and 2011 to investigate if the movement of rams from refuges toward harvested areas reduced the effects of selective harvesting on horn size through phenotypic rescue. Rams taken near refuges had horns on average about 3% longer than rams shot far from refuges and were slightly older, suggesting migration from refuges into hunted areas. Rams from areas adjacent to and far from harvest refuges, however, showed similar declines in horn length and increases in age at harvest over time, indicating a decreasing rate of horn growth. Our study suggests that the influx of rams from refuges is not sufficient to mitigate the selective effects of sheep trophy harvest. Instead, we suggest that selective hunting of highly mobile animals may affect the genetic structure of populations that spend part of the year inside protected areas.