Automated Author Profile

Schüssler, Rainer Alexander

Current S-Index

1.3

Sum of Dataset Indices for all datasets

Average Dataset Index per Dataset

0.7

Average Dataset Index per dataset

Total Datasets

2

Total datasets for this author

Average FAIR Score

13.5%

Average FAIR Score per dataset

Total Citations

2

Total citations to the author's datasets

Total Mentions

0

Total mentions of the author's datasets

S-Index Interpretation

S-Index Over Time

Cumulative Citations Over Time

Cumulative Mentions Over Time

Datasets

Local Predictability in High Dimensions

We propose a time series forecasting method designed to effectively handle large sets of predictive signals, many of which may be irrelevant or short-lived over time. Our method transforms predictive signals into candidate density forecasts via time-varying coefficient models, and subsequently combines them into an aggregate density forecast via time-varying subset combination. The approach is computationally efficient because it uses online prediction and updating. Through extensive simulation analysis, we find that our approach outperforms competitive benchmark methods in terms of forecast accuracy and computing time. We further demonstrate the capabilities of our method in applications to forecasting aggregate daily stock returns and quarterly inflation.

Authors

  • Adämmer, Philipp ;
  • Lehmann, Sven ;
  • Schüssler, Rainer Alexander
1 Citation0 Mentions13% FAIR0.7 Dataset Index
10.6084/m9.figshare.29586066January 2025

Local Predictability in High Dimensions

We propose a time series forecasting method designed to effectively handle large sets of predictive signals, many of which may be irrelevant or short-lived over time. Our method transforms predictive signals into candidate density forecasts via time-varying coefficient models, and subsequently combines them into an aggregate density forecast via time-varying subset combination. The approach is computationally efficient because it uses online prediction and updating. Through extensive simulation analysis, we find that our approach outperforms competitive benchmark methods in terms of forecast accuracy and computing time. We further demonstrate the capabilities of our method in applications to forecasting aggregate daily stock returns and quarterly inflation.

Authors

  • Adämmer, Philipp ;
  • Lehmann, Sven ;
  • Schüssler, Rainer Alexander
1 Citation0 Mentions13% FAIR0.7 Dataset Index
10.6084/m9.figshare.29586066.v1January 2025