Description
We used a Bayesian statistical model that includes projections of where people will be located on the landscape and future atmospheric conditions from downscaled climate model simulations using a moderate warming trajectory (RCP 4.5), to make predictions regarding the number, size of the 90% largest fires, and area burned by wildfires in each Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) level-3 ecoregion across the U.S. from 2020-2060
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Metrics Over Time
Publication Details
Subfield
Global and Planetary Change
Field
Environmental Science
Domain
Physical Sciences
Confidence Score
51%
Source
Scholar Data Model
Keywords
hazardsclimate changefireseffects of climate changeClimatologyclimatologyMeteorologyAtmospherefuture wildfiresextreme wildfiresmaximum fires